Although it is very difficult to predict the outcome of the TRNC presidential elections, it is possible that independent candidate Mustafa Akinci could be the winner, so writes columnist Aysu Basri.
A recent poll shows Akinci (photo above) to be virtually neck and neck with President Eroglu in popularity and shows vastly increased support for Akinci if the election goes to a second round vote.
She adds that the election results will determine the fate of the two big parties in North Cyprus – the Republican Turkish Party (CTP) and of the National Unity Party (UBP) which faced elections defeats recently and which are very keen to win this coming election. Basri also writes that the percentage of votes that independent candidate Kudret Ozersay will get will be of a great importance as regards the outcome of the elections and his own ambitions since this will determine his political future as well.
Referring to the advantages and disadvantages that Akinci has, Basri writes that his main advantage is that he gets votes from both the left and the right and also that he is perceived as a master politician on the Cyprus problem. His disadvantage is that he only has a small budget for his campaign and that there is no large organisation to support his efforts.
For the Turkish Cypriot President Dervis Eroglu, Basri writes that his main advantage is the large group of voters who feel loyal to him. However, Basri thinks that many internal problems faced by the UBP as well as the lack of cooperation between the UBP and the Democratic Party (DP) which also supports the Turkish Cypriot president, may lose Eroglu a lot of voters.
According to the columnist, CTP’s candidate Sibel Siber’s main advantage is that she was very successful when she acted as interim prime minister and that she is very much liked by the public. Her disadvantage is that her candidacy will be negatively affected by the fact that the ruling CTP, is accused of not taking action on internal issues and on the developments on the Cyprus problem.
Source Halkin Sesi